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Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Wednesday, February 11th, 2026:1.55% (-0.01%)
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, February 10, 2026 at 10:41 PM UTC
Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF SGARCH
paramt-stat
ω0.98755.47
α0.09915.93
β0.840535.42
γ1-0.4463-2.98
γ20.98174.47
γ3-0.8594-5.08
γ40.46102.23
γ5-0.4005-1.73
γ60.92294.60
γ7-1.2979-6.52
γ80.93283.33
Estimation Period:
Nov 23, 2009 to Feb 6, 2026
Impact of return on volatility tomorrow
Volatility Forecasts