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Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Thursday, February 12th, 2026:3.24% (+0.02%)
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, February 11, 2026 at 11:38 PM UTC
Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury ETF S0GARCH
paramt-stat
ω1.05305.98
α0.07295.78
β0.870639.14
γ1-0.4301-3.12
γ20.79363.85
γ3-0.5781-3.98
γ40.30791.94
γ5-0.1922-1.05
γ60.49213.00
γ7-0.9038-6.21
γ80.71196.61
Estimation Period:
Nov 23, 2009 to Feb 6, 2026
Impact of return on volatility tomorrow
Volatility Forecasts