Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury ETF Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Wednesday, February 11th, 2026:2.90% (+0.12%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5141 | 7.53 | |
| 0.0732 | 6.59 | |
| 0.8931 | 54.17 | |
| 0.1051 | 3.30 | |
| -0.1733 | -3.35 | |
| 0.1942 | 4.26 | |
| -0.3337 | -4.91 |
Estimation Period:
Nov 23, 2009 to Feb 6, 2026
Nov 23, 2009 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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