US Dollar to Romanian Leu MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, June 10th, 2026
1 Day
8.34%
increased by 4.99%
1 Week
34,998.74%
increased by 34,995.39%
1 Month
129,248,783,359,844,450,000.00%
increased by 129,248,783,359,844,450,000.00%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, June 9, 2026 at 07:03 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | ||
| 0.9992 | 9,991,710.00 | |
| 0.0858 | 857,600.00 | |
| -0.1699 | -1,698,620.00 | |
| 0.1730 | 24.73 | |
| 0.7275 | 23.02 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 5, 1998 to Jun 5, 2026
Jan 5, 1998 to Jun 5, 2026
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