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V-Lab

Innovator U.S. Equity Ultra Buffer ETF - May Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Thursday, February 12th, 2026:3.00% (-0.17%)
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, February 11, 2026 at 11:27 PM UTC
Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Innovator U.S. Equity Ultra Buffer ETF - May S0GARCH
paramt-stat
ω2.18113.13
α0.22876.13
β0.734719.19
γ13.91981.74
γ2-2.0337-0.60
γ3-3.5533-1.55
γ4-2.2538-1.12
γ510.50695.00
γ6-10.6566-4.20
γ75.15432.59
Estimation Period:
May 1, 2020 to Feb 6, 2026
Impact of return on volatility tomorrow
Volatility Forecasts