Innovator U.S. Equity Ultra Buffer ETF - May Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Wednesday, February 11th, 2026:3.13% (-0.27%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.1796 | 3.13 | |
| 0.2287 | 6.14 | |
| 0.7345 | 19.27 | |
| 3.9245 | 1.74 | |
| -2.0409 | -0.60 | |
| -3.5492 | -1.55 | |
| -2.2528 | -1.12 | |
| 10.4899 | 4.80 | |
| -10.5989 | -3.65 | |
| 4.9992 | 1.28 |
Estimation Period:
May 1, 2020 to Feb 6, 2026
May 1, 2020 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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