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TD Active US HI Yild BND ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

8.03%

decreased by 0.16%

1 Week

8.16%

decreased by 0.03%

1 Month

8.62%

increased by 0.43%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 09:14 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of TD Active US HI Yild BND ETF EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 26, 2019 to Sep 4, 2026
Illiquid Asset

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 28 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 28 days.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 28-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst-0.0173
-0.74
αARCH0.0625
0.88
βGARCH0.9755
18.22***
γleverage-0.0994
-1.41

0.975

Persistence

28d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

-0.0173
-0.74
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0625
0.88
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9755
18.22***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0994
-1.41

Persistence:

0.975

Half-life:

28 days