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V-Lab
V-Lab

Tron Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

112.77%

decreased by 0.07%

1 Week

115.43%

increased by 2.59%

1 Month

121.93%

increased by 9.09%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 11:05 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Tron Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 15, 2023 to Oct 2, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 9-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
1.45
αARCH0.0657
1.72*
βGARCH0.8938
17.08***
γleverage-0.0657
-1.14

0.927

Persistence

9d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
1.45
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0657
1.72*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8938
17.08***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0657
-1.14

Persistence:

0.927

Half-life:

9 days