V-Lab
Tron Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026
1 Day
112.77%
decreased by 0.07%
1 Week
115.43%
increased by 2.59%
1 Month
121.93%
increased by 9.09%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 11:05 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 15, 2023 to Oct 2, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 9-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 1.45 |
| αARCH | 0.0657 | 1.72* |
| βGARCH | 0.8938 | 17.08*** |
| γleverage | -0.0657 | -1.14 |
0.927
Persistence9d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 1.45 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0657 | 1.72* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8938 | 17.08*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0657 | -1.14 |
Persistence:
0.927
Half-life:
9 days
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