V-Lab
Tron Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
117.11%
decreased by 0.61%
1 Week
119.43%
increased by 1.71%
1 Month
125.20%
increased by 7.48%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:09 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 15, 2023 to Jul 24, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 5.57*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0619 | 7.42*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8986 | 72.75*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0619 | -4.50*** |
Persistence:
0.930
Half-life:
9 days
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