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V-Lab
V-Lab

Tron Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

113.65%

decreased by 22.50%

1 Week

130.17%

decreased by 5.98%

1 Month

142.81%

increased by 6.66%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 11:32 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Tron Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 15, 2023 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.23 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 2-day half-lifev = 3.23 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst86.3028
1.48
αARCH0.1886
1.46
βGARCH0.6897
3.56***
νDF3.2254
1.11

0.690

Persistence

2d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

86.3028
1.48
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1886
1.46
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6897
3.56***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.2254
1.11

Persistence:

0.690

Half-life:

2 days