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V-Lab
V-Lab

Tron Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

145.40%

decreased by 24.04%

1 Week

144.23%

decreased by 25.21%

1 Month

143.14%

decreased by 26.30%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 10:44 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Tron Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 15, 2023 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.36 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 2-day half-lifev = 3.36 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run84.1596
1.59
αscore0.1798
1.57
βpersistence0.7100
4.06***
νDF3.3563
1.05

0.710

Persistence

2d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

84.1596
1.59
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.1798
1.57
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.7100
4.06***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.3563
1.05

Persistence:

0.710

Half-life:

2 days