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V-Lab

Tortoise Nuclear Renaissance ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

19.61%

decreased by 2.16%

1 Week

34.88%

increased by 13.11%

1 Month

380.30%

increased by 358.53%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 02:28 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Tortoise Nuclear Renaissance ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 18, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.01
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5866
153.07***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.4778
178.37***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.3421
36.18***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.6131
68.26***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.826

Half-life:

4 days