iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:9.69% (-0.19%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8523 | 7.84 | |
| 0.0514 | 7.34 | |
| 0.9405 | 127.34 | |
| -0.0007 | -1.46 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 30, 2002 to Feb 6, 2026
Jul 30, 2002 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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