iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 13th, 2026:12.38% (+2.55%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0054 | 13.97 | |
| 0.0504 | 29.48 | |
| 0.9427 | 548.40 | |
| -0.0553 | -3.04 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 30, 2002 to Feb 6, 2026
Jul 30, 2002 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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