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Tgs Dis Ticaret As GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

107.57%

increased by 15.87%

1 Week

102.31%

increased by 10.61%

1 Month

87.91%

decreased by 3.79%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 08:33 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Tgs Dis Ticaret As GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 7, 2012 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1769
20.98***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2348
18.76***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6986
78.72***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0211
-1.01

Persistence:

0.923

Half-life:

9 days