OMX Tallinn Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Monday, June 15th, 2026
1 Day
6.55%
decreased by 0.17%
1 Week
6.98%
increased by 0.26%
1 Month
8.48%
increased by 1.76%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, June 13, 2026 at 06:08 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0115 | 16.06 | |
| 0.1139 | 27.26 | |
| 0.8787 | 231.05 | |
| 0.0147 | 1.83 |
Estimation Period:
Jun 3, 1996 to Jun 12, 2026
Jun 3, 1996 to Jun 12, 2026
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