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V-Lab

SSR Mining Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

61.90%

decreased by 2.33%

1 Week

63.00%

decreased by 1.23%

1 Month

65.68%

increased by 1.45%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:09 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of SSR Mining Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 1, 1996 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 166% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0458
12.99***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7772
21.99***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0759
11.17***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.8362
0.52
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2200
0.46
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7266
1.24

Persistence:

0.861

Half-life:

5 days