V-Lab
SSR Mining Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
68.21%
decreased by 2.35%
1 Week
68.39%
decreased by 2.17%
1 Month
68.83%
decreased by 1.73%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:10 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 1, 1996 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 163% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 46 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0462 | 13.08*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7771 | 22.01*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0753 | 11.15*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.8372 | 0.52 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.2225 | 0.46 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.7245 | 1.23 |
Persistence:
0.861
Half-life:
5 days
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