V-Lab
SSR Mining Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
65.92%
decreased by 1.30%
1 Week
65.74%
decreased by 1.48%
1 Month
65.09%
decreased by 2.13%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:15 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 1, 1996 to Aug 21, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 57% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 86 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0372 | 19.02*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9299 | 112.01*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0213 | 6.48*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.03 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.3338 | 0.01 |
Persistence:
0.978
Half-life:
31 days
Other SSR Mining Inc Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on Equities