V-Lab
SSR Mining Inc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
77.98%
decreased by 1.59%
1 Week
78.22%
decreased by 1.35%
1 Month
78.95%
decreased by 0.62%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:15 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 1, 1996 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 18 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1327 | 7.80*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0548 | 6.43*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9070 | 48.97*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=7
| γ1 | -0.0446 | -1.33 |
| γ2 | 0.0571 | 1.08 |
| γ3 | -0.0039 | -0.11 |
| γ4 | 0.0048 | 0.18 |
| γ5 | -0.0621 | -2.33** |
| γ6 | 0.1200 | 4.08*** |
| γ7 | -0.1091 | -3.85*** |
Persistence:
0.962
Half-life:
18 days
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