Mulvihill Enhanced SPT PF SH Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Wednesday, February 11th, 2026:6.42% (-0.07%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0383 | 2.28 | |
| 0.5145 | 2.76 | |
| 0.3504 | 3.44 | |
| -12.6466 | -5.49 | |
| 18.4573 | 5.24 | |
| -6.2570 | -3.30 |
Estimation Period:
Feb 1, 2023 to Feb 6, 2026
Feb 1, 2023 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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