Mulvihill Enhanced SPT PF SH Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Thursday, February 12th, 2026:6.58% (+0.84%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0242 | 2.23 | |
| 0.5226 | 2.81 | |
| 0.3450 | 3.45 | |
| -13.3094 | -5.53 | |
| 19.9993 | 5.07 | |
| -9.1047 | -2.14 |
Estimation Period:
Feb 1, 2023 to Feb 6, 2026
Feb 1, 2023 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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