V-Lab
Solana to US Dollar GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
56.61%
increased by 1.57%
1 Week
57.42%
increased by 2.38%
1 Month
59.88%
increased by 4.84%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:03 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 4, 2023 to Aug 22, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 18 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 18 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.29 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 17.6847 | 5.00*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0605 | 7.68*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9617 | 102.37*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 6.2928 | 1.42 |
Persistence:
0.962
Half-life:
18 days
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