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Solana to US Dollar GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

56.61%

increased by 1.57%

1 Week

57.42%

increased by 2.38%

1 Month

59.88%

increased by 4.84%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:03 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Solana to US Dollar GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 4, 2023 to Aug 22, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 18 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 18 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.29 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

17.6847
5.00***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0605
7.68***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9617
102.37***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

6.2928
1.42

Persistence:

0.962

Half-life:

18 days