V-Lab
Solana to US Dollar MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
45.88%
decreased by 0.44%
1 Week
46.99%
increased by 0.67%
1 Month
48.87%
increased by 2.55%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:03 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 4, 2023 to Aug 22, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 326% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 71 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0394 | 5.09*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7679 | 57.12*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1285 | 14.13*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0060 | 1.14 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9931 | 59.71*** |
Persistence:
0.872
Half-life:
5 days
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