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V-Lab

Solana to US Dollar MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

45.88%

decreased by 0.44%

1 Week

46.99%

increased by 0.67%

1 Month

48.87%

increased by 2.55%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:03 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Solana to US Dollar MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 4, 2023 to Aug 22, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 326% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

71
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0394
5.09***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7679
57.12***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1285
14.13***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0060
1.14
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9931
59.71***

Persistence:

0.872

Half-life:

5 days