V-Lab
Quantum Data Energy PLC MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, May 1st, 2026
1 Day
342.67%
decreased by 8.15%
1 Week
327.23%
decreased by 23.59%
1 Month
279.11%
decreased by 71.71%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, May 2, 2026 at 03:09 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 14, 2021 to Apr 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0905 | 6.22*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8492 | 75.33*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0103 | 0.42 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 73.2401 |
Persistence:
0.945
Half-life:
12 days
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