V-Lab
Prosus Nv MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
36.11%
decreased by 1.13%
1 Week
36.34%
decreased by 0.90%
1 Month
37.05%
decreased by 0.19%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 09:25 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 11, 2019 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 114% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0430 | 8.01*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8924 | 122.45*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0489 | 5.62*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 6.0318 | 0.01 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.960
Half-life:
17 days
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