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V-Lab

Prosus Nv MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

36.11%

decreased by 1.13%

1 Week

36.34%

decreased by 0.90%

1 Month

37.05%

decreased by 0.19%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 09:25 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Prosus Nv MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 11, 2019 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 114% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0430
8.01***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8924
122.45***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0489
5.62***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

6.0318
0.01
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.960

Half-life:

17 days