V-Lab
Pngs Reva Diamond Jewellery Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
59.23%
increased by 11.08%
1 Week
60.26%
increased by 12.11%
1 Month
60.81%
increased by 12.66%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 07:01 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 4, 2026 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.30 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 14.7622 | 3.31*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2022 | 2.11** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5476 | 5.57*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 3.2997 | 1.58 |
Persistence:
0.548
Half-life:
1 days
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