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V-Lab

Powerhouse Energy Group PLC MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

52.14%

decreased by 1.15%

1 Week

59.78%

increased by 6.49%

1 Month

69.58%

increased by 16.29%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 06:32 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Powerhouse Energy Group PLC MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 16, 2007 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 29% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1890
15.12***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6093
43.25***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0550
2.42**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0251
0.73
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0071
4.06***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9920
534.47***

Persistence:

0.826

Half-life:

4 days