V-Lab
Powerhouse Energy Group PLC MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
52.14%
decreased by 1.15%
1 Week
59.78%
increased by 6.49%
1 Month
69.58%
increased by 16.29%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 06:32 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 16, 2007 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 29% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1890 | 15.12*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6093 | 43.25*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0550 | 2.42** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0251 | 0.73 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0071 | 4.06*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9920 | 534.47*** |
Persistence:
0.826
Half-life:
4 days
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