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V-Lab

Ppb Group Bhd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

23.12%

decreased by 0.80%

1 Week

24.47%

increased by 0.55%

1 Month

26.97%

increased by 3.05%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 08:57 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Ppb Group Bhd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 5-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow71
αARCH0.1184
4.80***
βGARCH0.7316
14.42***
γleverage0.0338
0.92
λ₁tau intercept0.0338
1.11
λ₂forecast adj.0.0409
1.93*
λ₃tau persistence0.9476
31.37***

0.867

Persistence

5d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

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ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

71
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1184
4.80***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7316
14.42***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0338
0.92
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0338
1.11
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0409
1.93*
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9476
31.37***

Persistence:

0.867

Half-life:

5 days