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V-Lab

Pineapple Financial Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

82.09%

decreased by 1.23%

1 Week

101.03%

increased by 17.71%

1 Month

153.42%

increased by 70.10%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 12:46 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Pineapple Financial Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 1, 2023 to Sep 11, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 112 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.994, shock half-life ~112 days
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow126
αARCH0.2096
3.52***
βGARCH0.7109
19.74***
γleverage0.1468
1.16
λ₁tau intercept10.0000
0.64
λ₂forecast adj.0.0000
0.00
λ₃tau persistence0.9913
30.03***

0.994

Persistence

112d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2096
3.52***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7109
19.74***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1468
1.16
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.64
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9913
30.03***

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

112 days