Overlay Shares Municipal Bond ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:7.32% (+2.24%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5451 | 3.69 | |
| 0.2219 | 5.14 | |
| 0.6345 | 10.36 | |
| -2.5151 | -2.34 | |
| 4.5285 | 2.64 | |
| -3.2068 | -2.84 | |
| 1.3956 | 1.90 | |
| -0.0674 | -0.11 | |
| -0.2330 | -0.45 |
Estimation Period:
Oct 1, 2019 to Feb 6, 2026
Oct 1, 2019 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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