Overlay Shares Municipal Bond ETF Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Tuesday, February 10th, 2026:6.76% (-0.91%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5455 | 3.67 | |
| 0.2233 | 5.16 | |
| 0.6344 | 10.29 | |
| -2.5338 | -2.35 | |
| 4.5691 | 2.65 | |
| -3.2664 | -2.88 | |
| 1.5122 | 2.02 | |
| -0.3362 | -0.44 | |
| 0.4572 | 0.29 |
Estimation Period:
Oct 1, 2019 to Feb 6, 2026
Oct 1, 2019 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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