V-Lab
Neogen Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
53.31%
decreased by 0.91%
1 Week
53.34%
decreased by 0.88%
1 Month
53.47%
decreased by 0.75%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.997, volatility shocks have a half-life of 244 trading days (~1.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 93% more than positive returns
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0387 | 10.03*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0231 | 17.29*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9633 | 723.72*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0215 | 8.00*** |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
244 days
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