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V-Lab

Neogen Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

53.31%

decreased by 0.91%

1 Week

53.34%

decreased by 0.88%

1 Month

53.47%

decreased by 0.75%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Neogen Corp GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, volatility shocks have a half-life of 244 trading days (~1.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 93% more than positive returns

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0387
10.03***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0231
17.29***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9633
723.72***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0215
8.00***

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

244 days