Vanguard NW YRK Tx-Ex BD ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Thursday, February 12th, 2026:4.44% (+0.04%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.9464 | 1.73 | |
| 0.2037 | 1.89 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 | |
| -22.4654 | -0.13 | |
| 103.1491 | 0.33 | |
| 80.4751 | 0.33 | |
| -482.6402 | -2.26 | |
| 846.9682 | 3.12 | |
| -1,170.6240 | -3.01 | |
| 1,058.1520 | 2.64 | |
| -497.0949 | -2.19 |
Estimation Period:
May 22, 2025 to Feb 6, 2026
May 22, 2025 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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