Vanguard NW YRK Tx-Ex BD ETF Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:0.80% (-0.12%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 5.3980 | 1.79 | |
| 0.1884 | 1.71 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 | |
| 261.3066 | 1.54 | |
| -270.4662 | -0.91 | |
| 213.0074 | 0.90 | |
| -552.9369 | -2.59 | |
| 897.7233 | 3.28 | |
| -1,242.4640 | -3.15 | |
| 1,239.0250 | 2.83 | |
| -985.0294 | -2.49 |
Estimation Period:
May 22, 2025 to Feb 6, 2026
May 22, 2025 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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