Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Marex Group Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

38.42%

increased by 0.06%

1 Week

39.17%

increased by 0.81%

1 Month

41.81%

increased by 3.45%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 11:12 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Marex Group Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 25, 2024 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.9163
31.31***
γleverage0.1400
5.24***
λ₁tau intercept14.4762
1.97**

0.986

Persistence

50d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9163
31.31***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1400
5.24***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

14.4762
1.97**

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

50 days