V-Lab
Ishares Investment Grade Corporate Bond Buywrite Strategy ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
5.10%
decreased by 0.91%
1 Week
5.12%
decreased by 0.89%
1 Month
5.22%
decreased by 0.79%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 09:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 19, 2022 to Aug 21, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 56 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0465 | 10.36*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6557 | 91.48*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.5000 | 41.99*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0004 | 1.11 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0049 | 3.53*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9912 | 224.52*** |
Persistence:
0.952
Half-life:
14 days
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