V-Lab
Kurv Technology Titan SE ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
18.86%
increased by 0.02%
1 Week
19.28%
increased by 0.44%
1 Month
19.43%
increased by 0.59%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:25 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 23, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7174 | 17.17*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1201 | 7.25*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.1422 | 0.19 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1272 | 0.23 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.7857 | 0.79 |
Persistence:
0.777
Half-life:
3 days
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