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V-Lab

International Paper Co GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

35.14%

decreased by 1.61%

1 Week

35.06%

decreased by 1.69%

1 Month

34.73%

decreased by 2.02%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of International Paper Co GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 61 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 61 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.66 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.7991
7.13***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0570
36.40***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9887
602.14***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

6.6608
6.01***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

61 days