V-Lab
IMV Inc. GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 13th, 2026
1 Day
1,934.72%
increased by 197.06%
1 Week
1,934.68%
increased by 197.02%
1 Month
1,934.51%
increased by 196.85%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 09:10 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 12, 2009 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.01 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 14,649.6400 | 10.84*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0479 | 63.83*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9984 | 7,395.70*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.0075 |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
438 days
Other GAS-GARCH Student T Analyses on Equities