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V-Lab

IMV Inc. Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

1,246.40%

decreased by 164.81%

1 Week

1,231.68%

decreased by 179.53%

1 Month

1,214.77%

decreased by 196.44%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 09:27 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of IMV Inc. S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 12, 2009 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4522
4.75***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1561
4.46***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6065
6.22***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-0.0355
-0.04
γ20.8711
0.66
γ3-1.5434
-1.67*
γ41.4986
1.44
γ50.0743
0.06
γ6-2.8753
-1.94*
γ72.9833
2.33**
γ8-0.7364
-0.62
γ91.8055
1.18
γ10-4.3337
-3.79***

Persistence:

0.763

Half-life:

3 days