CBOE Volatility Index

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CBOE DJIA Volatility Index

CBOE Russell 2000 Volatility Index

CBOE S&P 500 9-Day Volatility Index

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How volatility evolves over time

How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
mwindow	66
αARCH	0.0365	2.79***
βGARCH	0.8439	47.11***
γleverage	0.0675	3.89***
λ₁tau intercept	0.2790	2.80***
λ₂forecast adj.	0.7044	8.94***
λ₃tau persistence	0.1912	2.42**

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	66
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0365	2.79***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.8439	47.11***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	0.0675	3.89***
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	0.2790	2.80***
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.7044	8.94***
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.1912	2.42**

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iShares Global Clean Energy ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

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