V-Lab
GraniteShares HIPS US High Income ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
9.15%
decreased by 0.32%
1 Week
9.58%
increased by 0.11%
1 Month
10.91%
increased by 1.44%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 02:23 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 7, 2015 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0238 | 13.94*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0319 | 5.97*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8632 | 176.05*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1638 | 12.00*** |
Persistence:
0.977
Half-life:
30 days
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