Unusual Whales Subversive Republican Trading ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, May 26th, 2026
1 Day
16.61%
decreased by 1.52%
1 Week
22.06%
increased by 3.93%
1 Month
36.47%
increased by 18.34%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, May 23, 2026 at 02:19 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0436 | 0.00 | |
| 0.5878 | 0.00 | |
| 0.4122 | 0.00 | |
| -83.6332 | 0.00 | |
| 94.1389 | 0.00 | |
| 7.1065 | 0.00 | |
| -196.1295 | 0.00 | |
| 577.9011 | 0.00 | |
| -810.2887 | 0.00 | |
| 667.9096 | 0.00 | |
| -337.0961 | -0.01 | |
| 76.6302 | 0.00 |
Estimation Period:
Feb 7, 2023 to May 22, 2026
Feb 7, 2023 to May 22, 2026
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