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Unusual Whales Subversive Republican Trading ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

476.00%

decreased by 54.60%

1 Week

475.53%

decreased by 55.07%

1 Month

473.63%

decreased by 56.97%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 02:16 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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graph of Unusual Whales Subversive Republican Trading ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 7, 2023 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0000
9.00***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3448
651.84***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9990
7,928.57***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0004

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

693 days