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	param	t-stat
$ω$	0.7427	9.38
$α$	0.1329	6.96
$β$	0.8190	34.87
$γ_{1}$	-0.0036	-2.82

V-Lab

Fidelity MSCI Materials Index ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Tuesday, February 10th, 2026:27.04% (-0.88%)

Date Range:

Parameter Estimates

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecasts

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