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	param	t-stat
$ω$	0.7139	8.18
$α$	0.1334	6.94
$β$	0.8174	34.50
$γ_{1}$	-0.0064	-1.25

V-Lab

Fidelity MSCI Materials Index ETF Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:27.73% (+1.04%)

Date Range:

Parameter Estimates

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecasts

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