Fidelity Enhanced High Yield ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:3.78% (-0.04%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6253 | 2.30 | |
| 0.1604 | 4.64 | |
| 0.7220 | 15.10 | |
| -1.9584 | -1.01 | |
| 5.2342 | 1.99 | |
| -7.9190 | -4.99 | |
| 9.8219 | 6.44 | |
| -8.4683 | -6.69 | |
| 3.3920 | 2.80 | |
| 0.1885 | 0.13 | |
| -0.1351 | -0.11 | |
| -0.0578 | -0.08 |
Estimation Period:
Jun 14, 2018 to Feb 6, 2026
Jun 14, 2018 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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