Fidelity Enhanced High Yield ETF Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:3.01% (-0.03%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6150 | 2.31 | |
| 0.1625 | 4.75 | |
| 0.7124 | 14.25 | |
| -2.0804 | -1.08 | |
| 5.4451 | 2.10 | |
| -8.1004 | -5.21 | |
| 10.0101 | 6.70 | |
| -8.6724 | -6.97 | |
| 3.6716 | 3.08 | |
| -0.3266 | -0.23 | |
| 1.0111 | 0.72 | |
| -3.0914 | -1.44 |
Estimation Period:
Jun 14, 2018 to Feb 6, 2026
Jun 14, 2018 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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