Fidelity U.S. Value ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:13.17% (+0.26%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0540 | 2.33 | |
| 0.0797 | 2.38 | |
| 0.6500 | 3.28 | |
| -0.3178 | -0.15 | |
| 2.0389 | 0.71 | |
| -3.7421 | -2.86 | |
| 2.2784 | 2.32 | |
| 1.4381 | 1.34 | |
| -3.3118 | -2.62 | |
| 2.0905 | 2.16 |
Estimation Period:
Jun 10, 2020 to Feb 6, 2026
Jun 10, 2020 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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