Fidelity U.S. Value ETF Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:11.20% (+0.36%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.2692 | 3.39 | |
| 0.0846 | 2.35 | |
| 0.6376 | 3.28 | |
| 1.1440 | 2.68 | |
| -2.0861 | -3.55 | |
| 1.9244 | 5.44 | |
| -2.1356 | -3.45 |
Estimation Period:
Jun 10, 2020 to Feb 6, 2026
Jun 10, 2020 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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