Fidelity Total Bond ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:3.99% (-0.30%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6452 | 5.74 | |
| 0.1403 | 3.82 | |
| 0.7063 | 12.38 | |
| -0.2699 | -1.74 | |
| 0.4126 | 1.78 | |
| -0.1361 | -0.80 | |
| 0.2398 | 1.62 | |
| -0.7343 | -5.30 | |
| 0.7013 | 6.19 |
Estimation Period:
Oct 9, 2014 to Feb 6, 2026
Oct 9, 2014 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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