Fidelity Total Bond ETF Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:3.30% (-0.32%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7697 | 8.43 | |
| 0.1347 | 3.77 | |
| 0.7304 | 14.14 | |
| 0.0005 | 0.02 | |
| 0.1117 | 2.46 | |
| -0.3710 | -6.52 |
Estimation Period:
Oct 9, 2014 to Feb 6, 2026
Oct 9, 2014 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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