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	param	t-stat
$ω$	1.0598	3.83
$α$	0.1866	1.17
$β$	0.6534	3.71
$γ_{1}$	0.2264	1.01

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Essential 40 Stock ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 13th, 2026:11.67% (+0.88%)

Date Range:

Parameter Estimates

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecasts

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